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Comment for Industry Filing 23-01

  • From: David Chee
    Organization(s):
    Manifold Markets

    Comment No: 72706
    Date: 7/24/2023

    Comment Text:

    I write with enthusiasm regarding your request for comments on KalshiEX LLC's Congressional Control Contracts. I am a staunch supporter of these prediction markets for their unmatched accuracy in reflecting live probabilities that react swiftly to current events.

    Prediction markets are more than just forecasting tools - they are crucial mechanisms that help correct over-hyped news and media narratives. By aggregating a wide range of views, they offer an invaluable 'outside view' of events, providing a baseline that individuals can use to form a more accurate understanding of our complex and rapidly evolving political climate.

    In a time of information overload, these markets serve as a beacon of rationality and evidence-based prediction. They counterbalance sensationalist narratives and contribute to a healthier, more nuanced understanding of politics. This not only benefits market participants but also the public at large, fostering a more informed and engaged citizenry.

    As someone who used to be anxious about the news, using prediction markets to ground myself with numbers rather than sensational headlines has been a great boost to my mental wellbeing. I would implore you to consider not just the people trading on the markets, but also those who will be able to refer to them as a valuable source of truth.

    I understand and appreciate the importance of stringent regulation and oversight to prevent misuse. As the CFTC weighs the issue of KalshiEX LLC's Congressional Control Contracts, I implore the Commission to see the immense potential these markets offer for the public good and to find a balance between innovation and protection.

    Sincerely,
    David Chee

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