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Comment for Sunshine Act Sunshine Act Meeting: March 25, 2010

  • From: Adrian Douglas
    Organization(s):
    Market Force Analysis

    Comment No: 23197
    Date: 3/25/2010

    Comment Text:

    10-005
    COMMENT
    CL-0289810-005
    COMMENT
    CL-02898
    CFTC Public Hearings on Metals Markets
    COMEX data show that the price of gold and
    silver are suppressed
    There is a direct correlation of price suppression
    and the positions of two US banks (BPR)
    The Bank Derivatives Reports from Treasury
    Dept. OCC indicates these two banks are
    JPMorganChase and HSBC
    Appropriate enforcement action is required10-005
    COMMENT
    CL-02898
    Gold Market Behaves Like No Other!
    COMPARISON OF GOLD, OIL & COPPER 2000-2010
    Parameter
    ~GOLD OIL COPPER
    1
    10 year Low ($)
    2 10 year High ($)
    3
    10 year maximum % Rise
    4 10 year rise to date (2/16/2010)
    5 Days when Intraday rise>2%
    6
    % of trading days intraday >2%
    7
    Days when Close >2%
    8 % of trading days close>2%
    9
    Days when Intraday Loss>-2%
    lO Days when Close>-2%
    11
    Closes gain>2%/Closes loss>-2%
    12 Highest Daily % Gain
    13 Highest Daily % Loss
    14
    10 year Cumulative up ($)
    15 10 year Cumulative down ($)
    16 Cumulative Up %
    17
    Cumulative Down %
    258.1
    1222
    373%
    333%
    165
    6%
    102
    4%
    167
    110
    0.93
    9.0%
    -7.3%
    6686
    -5903
    2590%
    2287%
    19.7
    147
    646%
    291%
    713
    27%
    487
    19%
    653
    435
    1.12
    15.7%
    -11.8%
    1256
    -1208
    6376%
    6132%
    0.64
    4.08
    538%
    392%
    363
    14%
    309
    12%
    364
    268
    1.15
    12.5%
    -11.0%
    37.04
    -34.74
    5788%
    5428%
    Gold has outperformed all financial assets in annual returns in the last 10 years yet:
    >-2% down days outnumber >+2% up days
    There are on average only 10 days per year where gain exceeds 2% compared to 49 days for
    WTI and 31 for copper10-005
    COMMENT
    CL-02898
    Waterfall Drops Occur Repetitively
    at the Same Time10-005
    COMMENT
    CL-02898
    Average Daily Gold Price Change over 16 Years
    Shows Suppression Occurs on the COMEX after
    the PM London Fix
    lO00.H
    1000.3
    1000.2
    i000.1
    AMFixing
    tPM Fixing
    O Dimitri Speck
    Geheime Goldpolitik
    FinanzBuch Verlag 2010
    999.9
    ............ ::
    999.89/5/06
    11/5/06
    1/5/07
    3/5/07
    5/5/07
    7/5/07
    9/5/07
    11/5/07
    1/5/08
    3/5/08
    5/5/08
    7/5/08
    9/5/08
    11/5/08
    1/5/09
    GOLD PRICE $/OZ
    BANK NS/COMMERCIAL NS %
    ~
    0 0
    zrrl9/5/06
    11/5/06
    1/5/07
    3/5/07
    5/5/07
    7/5/07
    9/5/07
    11/5/07
    1/5/08
    3/5/08
    5/5/08
    7/5/08
    9/5/08
    11/5/08
    1/5/09
    Silver Price cents/oz
    Bank NS/Commercial NS
    ~=10-005
    COMMENT
    CL-02898
    The Treasury OCC Reveal the Manipulators
    Are JPMorganChase & HSBC
    100%
    90%
    80%
    70%
    60%
    50%
    40%
    30%
    20%
    10%
    0%
    JPM & HSBC Share of Bank Gold Derivatives With
    Maturity < 1 Year
    Q4 2006
    Q1 2007
    Q2 2007
    Q3 2007
    Q4 2007
    Q1 2008
    Q2 2008
    Q3 2008
    Since November 2009 the CFTC now "suppresses" the names of banks in
    the BPR if there are 4 or less banks in a category to prevent the public
    knowing who is manipulating the precious metals markets10-005
    COMMENT
    CL-02898
    Treasury Department Concedes Five Banks
    "Dominate" the Massive Derivatives Market
    Quote from Q4 2008 Bank Derivatives Activities report from
    the OCC
    Derivatives activity in the U.S. banking system is dominated by a small
    group of large financial institutions. Five large commercial banks
    represent 96% of the total industry notional amount and 81% of
    industry net current credit exposure. While market or product
    concentrations are a concern for bank supervisors, there are three
    important mitigating factors with respect to derivatives activities .......
    Despite a near meltdown of the financial system due to derivatives and
    a bailout of the "five large commercial banks" this statement first appeared in
    the OCC Bank Derivatives report in 2006 and is still used today.10-005
    COMMENT
    CL-02898
    Conclusions
    Price suppression occurs on the COMEX
    A small numb.e, r of banks dominate the commercial
    net short pos~t~ons
    A small number of banks dominate the OTC
    derivatives market
    Solutions:
    Hedgers should deposit 40% of short position in bullion
    in COMEX warehouse
    - Sign affidavit metal title is unencumbered and will
    remains so while it is collateral for the short position
    - Banks prohibited from speculation (Volcker Rule)
    -"Speculators"
    positions to be limited